2013年11月21日星期四

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This is devastating, especially given the extraordinary service and sacrifices the 1st Cavalry has already made, especially in Iraq.fake gucci shoes If you want to know more about this remarkable unit–and their community at Fort Hood–read this book. One other thing: If it is true that Nadal Malik Hasan is a psychiatrist, as is being reported, then he has probably spent the past six years dealing with post-traumatic stress disorder, brain injuries and the other psychological effects of this unnecessary war. There’s no way of knowing, yet, whether that experience led to this horror. But I’m sure this act will cause additional anguish, and confusion, for those who were being treated by the Major.gucci handbag for sale How terribly sad.
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I agree with Joe: That this tragedy happened at Fort Hood adds an extra level of significance and sadness.fake gucci shoes Last night, I had a brief conversation with Congressman Chet Edwards, who is chairman of the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Military Construction, Veterans Affairs, and Related Agencies. More importantly, he represented Fort Hood for most of his career in Congress, until he was redistricted. (Fort Hood’s current Congressman is John Carter) “This is an installation where a lot of soldiers have given an awful lot,” Edwards told me. He recalled that on a recent visit there with Joint Chiefs Chairman Mike Mullen, he encountered one soldier who had been deployed to Iraq six times, and a couple who had lost two sons within nine days of each other.fake louis vuitton shoes Edwards had praise for the work that the military–and particularly Fort Hood’s recently reassigned commander Rick Lynch–has done to help soldiers with the after-effects of the sacrifices that they have made, though he acknowledged there is much to be done. He said Fort Hood currently has three behavioral sciences centers (which they are hoping to consolidate into a new single hospital) that have been seeing 1,000 individuals, for a total of 4,000 sessions a week. The Houston Chronicle gives us a good picture of the challenges they face.
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I’ve been wondering if the U.gucci outlet onlineS. military’s projections about the training of Afghan security forces haven’t been a bit rosy, and the New York Times today raises many of the same questions. I’ve heard conflicting reports on the Afghan National Army in recent months: On the plus side, they are said to fight well. On the minus side, 20-25% desert each year–and worse, a disproportionate number of them come from regions where the fighting isn’t taking place.ugg boots outlet I’m told that most of the ANA troops in Helmand province are Dari speakers who need Pashtun interpreters to communicate with the locals. Senator Joe Lieberman proposed a 250,000 person Afghan army last year and everyone said: great idea. But, according to the Times, we’re stuck at 90,000 and backsliding, and the chances of building a larger, professional force, in a country where only 20% of the population is literate, seem dim at best. The situation with the fabulously corrupt Afghan police is even worse.louis vuitton speedy I am a big supporter of counterinsurgency strategy: it is the most humane way to operate in these sorts difficult environments against an indigenous enemy. But it can’t work if you don’t have (a) a reliable local government and (b) plausible local security forces who can take over operations when you leave–otherwise, it falls apart, as David Petraeus learned in Mosul during the first year of the Iraq war. So, as you read the stories about the progress of counterinsurgency ?operations in Afghanistan, here’s a hint: See if the local Afghan forces and government are ever mentioned. If the story only talks about the wonderful things Americans are doing to improve life for the locals, be wary.louis vuitton belts Our troops have become excellent at building security and civil society in Afghan communities, but if the Afghans aren’t able to sustain the institutions we initiate, we’re building sand castles.
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2013年11月20日星期三

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Rick Santorum’s campaign held an hour-long conference call with reporters on Tuesday with two purposes: 1) to say that it’s not fair that all anyone is talking about is Mitt Romney’s delegate lead, and 2) explain their memo claiming that Mitt Romney’s delegate lead isn’t as big as everyone else says it is.fake uggs If those conflicting messages leave you puzzled, don’t worry –? the race really isn’t any closer than people believe. The quantifiable part of the argument Santorum’s people are making is that some of the winner-take-all contests–big prizes in Florida and Arizona–should have awarded delegates proportionally, giving Santorum some share of the delegates that have all gone to Romney. Which is all very interesting until you ask party officials. “Proportionality is only required for those states that go between March 6 and the end of March.louis vuitton speedy People that went before March 1 can do winner-take-all,” Jim Bopp, a RNC rules committee member, told National Review. Florida was punished for moving its primary up to Jan. 31, but the winner-take-all thing is going to slide. Sorry Santo.louis vuitton handbags for sale So why talk about it? Despite the holier than thou stuff? — on a conference call devoted to delegate math communications director Hogan Gidley actually said “We’re the only campaign not talking about delegate math” — Santorum needs the math to work his way. As we wrote Monday, if the math can’t deny Romney the nomination, Santorum has no hope. This is an argument he has to make. It’s unfortunate, too, because all this delegate talk is boring, and boring helps Mitt Romney.handbags louis vuitton “It??s pretty sad when all you have is to do math instead of trying to go out there and win it on substance and win it on what Americans want to hear about,” Santorum told CNN last week. “We??re a long long way from over. And you know what? I suspect if we keep winning state after state after state, [Romney] isn??t going to be the nominee.” But Santorum isn’t winning “state after state” at this point.louis vuitton belts Illinois is looking grim; he should win Louisiana, but then it’ll be a long few weeks until his home state of Pennsylvania votes on a night when Romney could sweep the rest of the east coast. All Santorum has is the math.? And yeah, he was right. Tuesday’s phone call was a little sad.chanel outlet
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Writing at CNN.louis vuitton beltscom, former CIA Director Michael Hayden, an adviser to Mitt Romney, makes a provocative point. If Barack Obama’s threat of military action to stop Iran from developing a nuclear weapon is serious, doesn’t that amount to a policy of… pre-emption? Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta probably gave the clearest administration statement when he said that if “we get intelligence that they’re proceeding with developing a nuclear weapon, then we will take whatever steps are necessary to stop it.” That, combined with the president’s repeated statements that Iran getting a nuclear weapon is “unacceptable,” surprisingly aligns this administration with the George W. Bush administration’s doctrine of pre-emption.chanel outlet That doctrine famously described it as a duty to “anticipate and counter threats, using all elements of national power, before the threats can do grave damage.” To be sure, Barack Obama has never asserted a right of pre-emptive action as assertively as Bush did. Take, for instance, this key passage from Bush’s famous 2002 West Point graduation speech: Our security will require the best intelligence, to reveal threats hidden in caves and growing in laboratories…. Our security will require transforming the military you will lead — a military that must be ready to strike at a moment’s notice in any dark corner of the world.fake louis vuitton And our security will require all Americans to be forward-looking and resolute, to be ready for preemptive action when necessary to defend our liberty and to defend our lives. But in a certain sense, Obama is asserting an even broader rationale for pre-emption. When Obama calls an Iran bomb “unacceptable,” and reiterates his willingness to use the military to prevent one, he doesn’t focus on any direct threat to the United States. Here’s Obama talking to the Atlantic‘s Jeffrey Goldberg earlier this month: In addition to the profound threat that it poses to Israel, one of our strongest allies in the world; in addition to the outrageous language that has been directed toward Israel by the leaders of the Iranian government — if Iran gets a nuclear weapon, this would run completely contrary to my policies of nonproliferation.fake ugg boots The risks of an Iranian nuclear weapon falling into the hands of terrorist organizations are profound. It is almost certain that other players in the region would feel it necessary to get their own nuclear weapons. So now you have the prospect of a nuclear arms race in the most volatile region in the world, one that is rife with unstable governments and sectarian tensions. And it would also provide Iran the additional capability to sponsor and protect its proxies in carrying out terrorist attacks, because they are less fearful of retaliation.replica chanel shoes Yes, Obama is (legitimately, I would say) concerned that an Iranian nuke might fall into the hands of terrorists. But his list mostly consists of indirect threats to the U.S. and American lives: the security of Israel; nonproliferation; regional stability and an emboldened regime in Tehran.louis vuitton belts Those are all valid concerns. But the rationale for bombing Iran, if it comes to that, will be more abstract than the one that was used to justify the American invasion of Iraq. Go figure.
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It’s going to take a while to sift through the entrails of Paul Ryan’s latest budget, but it seems obvious that his Medicare proposal, jointly made with Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon, is going to get most of the attention.ugg boots outlet I’m a big fan of Wyden’s when it comes to health care policy. He’s proven to be the most creative legislator on this subject in either party–and his initial universal health care plan, a single-payer system that would have removed insurance responsibility from American employers, seemed to me the best way to go. But I must say, his joint Medicare proposal with Ryan seems, at first glance, something of a scam. It’s a good scam, though.fake gucci shoes Let me explain: Ryan’s initial Medicare proposal was a “premium support” plan that would give ever-decreasing vouchers to senior citizens to buy Medicare from a variety of providers. The basic assumption behind this plan–that market economics would drive down the cost of Medicare–was both flawed and cruel. Previous attempts to offer market choices to the elderly–i.e.fake ugg boots Medicare Advantage–proved to be costly failures. There is no evidence–I mean, zero evidence–that a functioning health care market can be built in a nation dominated by a few mammoth health care mega-systems. And, having lived through the horrors of making health care choices with elderly parents the past few years, I can tell you without question: asking my parents to make rational health care choices after the age of 80 would have been extremely unfair, to the point of mental cruelty. Enter Ron Wyden: His compromise with Ryan was to allow a public option–essentially Medicare as it now stands–to compete with the private insurance plans.chanel handbags for sale That’s the scam: I can’t imagine any elderly person not?choosing a public fee-for-service option. Ryan does get to maintain the ideological fig leaf of a market-based system, but that’s about it. The reality is that the overwhelming majority of senior citizens would opt to keep the coverage they now have. I have two thoughts about how to proceed from here: 1.gucci handbag for sale Let’s make a deal. I’d be happy to support the Wyden-Ryan alternative if Ryan would agree to make it applicable to the entire Obamacare system: make a Medicare-style public option available to everyone. I mean if it’s good enough for the seniors, why not for the rest of us, right Paul? (Actually, I’m a senior these days, but I still get my health care from Time Warner.) 2.gucci handbag for sale Solving the real “problem” of Medicare–escalating costs–probably has nothing to do with a free market system. It has everything to do with abolishing the fee-for-service system that encourages doctors to order unnecessary treatments and tests. The best way to do this would be to move to the Mayo Clinic health care association model, in which doctors are essentially paid salaries and receive incentives to provide care on the basis of the most effective treatment models. I’m going to spend some time this spring learning more about this model and I hope to have some conclusions in a few weeks.louis vuitton neverfull But I do think it’s time to get past the standard conservative and liberal dogmas and figure out how to rebuild a system that provides good care, without the anxieties that attend forcing complicated choices on the elderly, at a reasonable price. It may even be possible to do that.
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2013年11月19日星期二

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I’m wondering if Tuesday night’s results in Minnesota, Colorado and Missouri really were so atrocious for Mitt Romney.fake louis vuitton shoes As Alex Altman noted last night, there’s one obvious upside: Rick Santorum’s big night complicates the anti-Mitt movement, ensuring that conservative opposition to Romney remains divided. Tuesday night’s results might have made Romney look weak and unloved, but his path to the nomination doesn’t appear to be in real danger as long as Santorum and Gingrich each hang around, trading mini-surges and splitting a pool of voters who can’t stomach a formerly pro-choice ex-Massachusetts governor leading their party. (MORE:?With Tuesday Caucuses, Santorum Gets a Second Chance to Shine) It’s also worth thinking about the psychology behind last night’s vote. The turnout for Romney was pathetic, with particularly embarrassing results in Colorado and Minnesota, states where he prevailed over John McCain in 2008.louis vuitton shoes replica But there’s a reason Romney would have won those states then and lost them now. In 2008, as in 2012, you had a frontrunner who, though he may face lingering opposition within the party, has achieved a strategic position of overwhelming superiority. People willing to accept Romney as the nominee didn’t have much incentive to turn out and vote on Tuesday; they understand that he’s basically a lock. The same held for McCain in 2008.louis vuitton handbags for sale The people with a greater incentive to vote on Tuesday were those with a high preference intensity, probably based around issues like abortion, or an extreme distaste for Romney. That vote was surely easier to capture, and Santorum did it. Sure, at some point, if a front runner looks strong enough, you’d expect holdouts to give up. But in this case, you’ve got a front runner who is an unusually bad fit for his party’s base, which keeps kicking at his shins.fake uggs To put it another way: I’m not sure that Tuesday night told us anything we didn’t already know, either about Romney or the party. (VIDEO:?What Comes Next After Mitt Romney??s Florida Primary Victory?) Hence I don’t see how this amounts to a crisis for Romney. His money, his (admittedly dented) aura of inevitability, and both Santorum and Gingrich’s own severe political limitations make them unlikely to derail Mitt’s path to the nomination. The more interesting question remains Romney’s strengths and weaknesses once he gets there.louis vuitton backpack for sale
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For a guy with a grim worldview, Ron Paul is great at spotting the green shoots when it comes to his own political fortunes.fake ugg boots When he fell to third in Iowa, he told the crowd that “we are going to keep scoring.” In New Hampshire, he told supporters that their “irate minority” was “going to continue to grow by leaps and bounds.” After finishing fourth of four in Florida, he declared, “We have only gotten started.” This knack for spinning disappointments has seeped into Paul’s press coverage.replica louis vuitton Pundits can spend hours blistering Mitt Romney for his failure to lock the nomination up already. Far fewer tut-tutted when Paul slipped to third in Nevada, a libertarian-leaning caucus state that should be in his wheelhouse. The Texas Congressman spent more time than any competitor in Minnesota, whose caucuses are the kind of low-turnout affair where his committed fan base are supposed to shine. Instead, Rick Santorum pummeled Paul by 18 points.louis vuitton speedy He finished third in non-binding contests in Colorado and Missouri. Politico called it his “best night of the year” and argued the results “validated?the Texas congressman??s strategy of focusing on caucus states at a critical moment.” (MORE:?Mitt Romney and Ron Paul: A Tale of Two Very Different Candidates) In the Republican Party, this is known as the soft bigotry of low expectations. Paul is the only GOP candidate in the field yet to win a state.handbags louis vuitton He didn’t win one in 2008, either. For all his vaunted caucus prowess, he’s now 0 for 4 in caucus states. Addressing supporters on Tuesday night, Paul again slapped an upbeat spin on a missed opportunity.???We do have to remember: the straw vote is one thing, but then there??s a whole other thing ?? delegates ?? and that is where we excel,?? he said.louis vuitton outlet online How so? According to the AP’s delegate projection, Romney more than doubles the delegate tally of his nearest competitor, racking up 107 to Santorum’s 45. Then comes Gingrich with 32. Paul has nine. CNN’s projections are slightly more generous, but Paul still runs dead last in delegates with 20, less than a fifth of Romney’s total.loui vuitton Jesse Benton, Paul’s campaign chairman, didn’t immediately respond to a query about how Paul intends to close this gap. Maybe the unbound delegates will break in his favor. But for Paul to become a credible contender for the nomination, he must at some point demonstrate an ability to win. (VIDEO:?10 Questions with Ron Paul) Paul admitted as much on Tuesday in an interview with radio host Scott Hennen.louis vuitton shoes replica “I think you really need to,” he said. “You can hardly get enough delegates if you don??t start winning some. That remains to be seen.” None of this suggests Paul’s campaign has been for naught.fake uggs He is improving on his 2008 totals and padding his base of support. Americans of all political stripes are buying into Paul’s worldview, a mix of constitutional governance, individual liberty, Austrian economics and non-interventionist foreign policy.?Paul has never admitted it, but plenty of people have long suspected that his primary motivation in mounting a third bid for the presidency was not to occupy the Oval Office, but to preach this gospel from a floodlit spot on the national stage. When I profiled Paul for TIME last summer, I argued that he is better understood as a political prophet than as a conventional candidate.handbags louis vuitton Through that prism, his campaign has been a smash success. But from an electoral standpoint? Not so much.
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The morning after his three-state sweep of Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri, Rick Santorum is finally getting a bit of credit.louis vuitton speedy But for a guy who’s now won more nominating contests?than any other Republican presidential candidate (if you charitably count Missouri’s meaningless pageant), Santorum stands to reap few rewards for his efforts. Botched counts, party rules and bad timing threaten to neuter all four victories. First the boring delegate arcana: The caucuses in Iowa, Minnesota and Colorado didn’t apportion delegates directly, but instead kicked off a process to choose delegates who will eventually go to the Republican National Convention in Tampa. CNN’s delegate projection puts Santorum at 34, but it’s not a guarantee.replica louis vuitton The aforementioned Missouri sideshow had absolutely no bearing on the nominating math; there’s an entirely separate contest there in March. So, why does anyone care about these votes? (MORE:?With Tuesday Caucuses, Santorum Gets a Second Chance to Shine) These elections send messages to Republican voters who have yet to make up their minds. Winning votes, regardless of the delegates they may deliver, illustrate a candidate’s potential support, and make headlines that imbue candidates with the holiest mana of presidential politics: momentum. Iowa is foremost in that regard, a high-stakes caucus in a state with few delegates to give and a wildly unrepresentative electorate that nonetheless sets the tone for the campaign.chanel handbags for sale And what did Santorum gain from his Iowa victory? Pretty much nothing. The vote count was screwy and so close that no one knew he’d won it until South Carolina was practically over. Romney got the bump and Santorum got snowed in New Hampshire. (MORE: Santorum Stuns Romney with Three-State Sweep, Stealing Momentum in GOP Race) Santorum’s victories in Minnesota and Colorado may well prove just as unrewarding, if for a different reason.louis vuitton neverfull The fickle press corps is enamored of Santorum on the morning after his wins, but there are three long weeks before the next major contests in Arizona and Michigan. (New Hampshire and South Carolina followed on Iowa’s heels.)? New storylines will surely emerge as the campaign moves on. (What was the big story three weeks ago? Newt Gingrich talking about Bain in South Carolina maybe, but 21 days is such an eternity in the political vortex, I can’t recall.gucci handbag for sale) So timing has dealt Santorum a bad hand again while the fundamentals remain unchanged: Romney has the money, campaign infrastructure and Establishment support that historically win primaries; Santorum has four wins, fewer delegates than his chief rival and a heap of bad luck.
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Most political analysts in Washington believe that war with Iran is unlikely, especially before the November U.replica louis vuittonS. elections. Politically it would be hard for President Obama to engage in another Middle Eastern war given the war weariness of the U.S.fake louis vuitton shoes electorate, let alone the question of being able to afford it at a time when Defense Secretary Leon Panetta is cutting hundreds of billions of dollars from the Pentagon budget. There also seems little appetite from the international community to wage war with Iran, especially since Tehran is still allowing United Nations inspectors into their nuclear sites and, for the first time in recent history, sanctions seem to be working. That said, despite the political, economic and military reluctance to go to war with Iran, there are four ways the U.S.chanel outlet could still end up embroiled in such a conflict before the elections. And by conflict, no one is envisioning troops on the ground. More likely: a bombing campaign or, worst-comes-to-worst, a naval one in the Strait of Hormuz. “I don’t think we’re going to go to war with Iran, but I do think we could get dragged into it,” says Michael Breen, vice president of the Truman Project.cheap gucci belts (MORE: Iran Calls New US Sanctions ‘Psychological War’) Iran wants a war.Not a full-blown one, which would happen if they closed ?the Strait of Hormuz, shutting down the flow of oil and provoking international condemnation. But, say, one where they throw out International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors. Such a move would be seen as a deliberate provocation–clear proof that Tehran had decided to head toward weapons grade uranium.fake louis vuitton If that leads to bombing by the U.S. or Israel or both, the Iranian people would rally around their leaders. “I think there are hardline elements in Tehran that would welcome a military attack,” says Karim Sadjadpour, an Iranian expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.louis vuitton backpack for sale “It’s a dangerous and unpredictable gamble, but it’s the one thing that could potentially repair the country’s deep internal political fractures and distract from widespread popular disaffection.” It would also be a well-calculated risk: many observers believe that unless an air assault is sustained for weeks and weeks, it would set back the Iranian program only a few months, perhaps two years at most. Iran underestimates President Obama’s resolve and the U.S.louis vuitton backpack for sale political climate.Let’s face it, the U.S. has drawn dozens of redlines over the past decade and Iran, much like North Korea, has zigzagged all over them with impunity.gucci handbag for sale President George W. Bush seemed to set a new redline every six months that Iran flouted. So far they haven’t tested Obama. But they may think him distracted by the world economy and the presidential election and somehow take this as an opportunity to press forward secretly with enrichment, moving closer to weapons grade uranium.chanel handbags for sale “We don’t know how Iran calculates the pros and cons of getting nukes,” says Michael O’Hanlon, a foreign policy export at the Brookings Institution. “Given our lack of such knowledge, we should be careful about assuming when they might make their next move.” Given what is known about the Iranian program, it is virtually impossible for it to develop an actual bomb by November 2012. But if Iran did manage to press toward weapons grade materiel under the noses of the IAEA inspectors and this was discovered, then the consequences might be severe.louis vuitton speedy Given his strident statements on Iran (and the bellicose GOP candidates watching his moves), Obama could never allow Iran to get that close to a bomb on his watch without taking action. (MORE:?Obama Seeks to Cool War Fever While Keeping Up Pressure on Iran) The accidental war. The Strait of Hormuz is a small place for maneuvering and some trigger happy Iranian or American could misfire and the situation could snowball. This has happened before.chanel outlet Towards the end of the Iran-Iraq war when U.S. warships were accompanying oil tankers through the waterway, U.S.fake ugg boots naval ships exchanged gunfire accidentally between both Iraqi and Iranian forces in 1987 and 1988. On July 3, 1988, the U.S.S.louis vuitton outlet online Vincennes, believing it was under attack, shot down an Iranian commercial flight killing all 290 passengers and crew aboard. Just imagine what such an action might trigger in today’s climate. Israel goes it alone.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is convinced Iran is intent on acquiring a nuclear bomb as soon as possible–with Israel as Tehran’s likely target if it were ever used.fake uggs Though the U.S. isn’t as convinced of Iran’s intentions, Israel might nevertheless make the political calculation to attack now. Obama and Congress wouldn’t be able to do much to punish Israel before the elections.replica louis vuitton If the Israelis wait till after the U.S. elections the political repercussions would be a lot harder for the Jewish State. It’s a gamble because if Obama wins reelection, they risk severely damaging relations with the U.fake louis vuitton shoesS. “I don’t see that U.S. political calendar will compel Israel to attack Iran before November 2012,” says Sadjadpour.fake ugg boots “The Israelis could also calculate that it’s better to wait to see a potential Republican administration in Washington in 2013 that might do the job for them.” In any case, few analysts believe Israel would act without U.S. blessing *I put an asterisk here because although these are all possible ways the U.replica gucci shoesS. could go to war with Iran in the coming months, the most likely action is nothing at all. “We cannot predict how Iran will react as sanctions bite steadily harder, whether some incident in the Gulf will occur and escalate out of control, or whether an Israeli raid could trigger a conflict between the U.S.gucci outlet online and Iran,” says Anthony Cordesman, a national security analyst at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. “What we can predict is that a mixture of escalating Iranian threats and nuclear activities, and the rising impact of U.S. and international sanctions, does increase these risks.fake louis vuitton shoes
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The Administration’s decision to require Catholic charities and universities to provide free birth control through employee health coverage is several weeks old, but the maelstrom of dissent it’s created is widening.gucci handbag for sale Republicans, who charge that the measure violates such organizations’ religious freedoms, have allied with Catholic groups in opposition, and in recent days a handful of high-profile Democrats have joined their ranks in calling on the Administration to broaden exemptions from the rule. On Wednesday, Tim Kaine, the former Obama-picked Democratic National Committee chairman who is now running for Senate in Virginia, told a radio interviewer he had “grave concerns.”? “I think the White House made a good decision in including a mandate for contraception coverage in the Affordable Care Act insurance policy,” he said, “but I think they made a bad decision in not allowing a broad enough religious- employer exemption.” Pennsylvania Senator Bob Casey and Connecticut Representative John Larson, the fourth-ranking Democrat in the House, expressed similar criticisms.louis vuitton backpack for sale All three are Catholic. (As Amy Sullivan writes at The Atlantic, many of the people lobbying the White House for a broader exemption are longstanding allies.) (MORE:?Obama Administration??s Contraception Ruling Fits with Re-Election Needs) Conservative backlash has been much fiercer. Speaker John Boehner took to the House floor on Wednesday to condemn the ruling and pledged to draft legislation to block it.fake chanel shoes ??If the President does not reverse the attack on religious freedom,” he said, “then the Congress, acting on behalf of the American people and the Constitution we are sworn to uphold and defend, must.“ In the new issue of TIME, available online to subscribers, National Review editor Rich Lowry crystallizes this case, increasingly prevalent on the right, that Obama’s contraception stance represents an effort to curtail religious freedoms. The President, Lowry writes, will face both political and legal backlash: In Obama’s decision (and yes, he did okay it), we see again an encroachment of secular government, with its web of rules and regulations, on a free, civil society. It is an expression of the unyielding “tutelary power” of the administrative state foretold by Alexis de Tocqueville.louis vuitton shoes replica Such a state seeks what it imagines to be our happiness, he wrote, “but it wishes to be the only agent and sole arbiter of that happiness.” In America, though, what the state wishes it doesn’t always get. Obama will retreat or lose in the courts. The political toxicity of the rule is not as immediately apparent outside of Washington.ugg boots outlet A poll released earlier this week found a majority of Americans, including a majority of Catholics, support a requirement for employers to provide employees with coverage that includes free contraception. And, as Democrats are quick to point out, many Americans are already subject to one. In total, 28 states have rules mandating insurance coverage of birth control. Twenty of those states, however have an exemption for religious employers, many of which include exemptions for Catholic universities and charities.louis vuitton speedy Just four have narrow exemptions that, like Obama’s new rule, do not. Even as the Administration looks to those 28 states for ways to allay the concerns of Catholic groups, the chances that it will willingly accede on the larger issue may have been overstated this week after David Axelrod, a senior adviser to the President’s re-election campaign, seemed to hint at a larger reversal on Tuesday.? “We certainly don??t want to abridge anyone??s religious freedoms,” he told MSNBC, “so we??re going to look for a way to move forward that both provides women with the preventative care that they need and respects the prerogatives of religious institutions.” White House press secretary Jay Carney on Wednesday indicated that while the Administration would consider tweaks to the exemption, the fundamental scope of the rule would remain unchanged.handbags louis vuitton “We want to work with all these organizations to implement this policy in a way that is as sensitive to their concerns as possible,?? he told reporters at a press briefing. ??But let??s be clear: We are committed, the President is committed, to ensuring that women have access to contraception without paying any extra costs, no matter where they work.” MORE:?Obama??s Fairness Doctrine MORE:?Is the Obama Administration ??At War?? with Catholics? Read Rich Lowry’s full column in the new issue of TIME, available online to subscribers Thursday and on newsstands Friday.
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This post was updated at 1:25pm It??s been a long slog, but government officials and representatives from major U.louis vuitton outlet onlineS. banks have?come to terms on a settlement that would put an end to federal and state investigations into alleged foreclosure abuses by financial institutions. Details of the settlement were announced this morning, and a website explaining the plan went live today as well. ?President Obama also gave a statement at the White House saying the deal “will begin to turn the page on an era of recklessness that has left so much damage in its wake.gucci handbag for sale” The five major banks involved in the settlement: Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and Ally Financial will pay roughly $25 billion in penalties and relief to borrowers, states and the federal government. According the terms outlined today, the big banks will pay: $20 billion in direct consumer relief, with $17 billion going to principal reduction, and $3 billion to help underwater borrowers refinance their mortgages at lower rates; $4.25 billion of cash will be distributed to states, with $1.5 billion going out as checks to borrowers who were victims of foreclosure abuses, and $2.handbags louis vuitton75 distributed to state governments to help with foreclosure prevention efforts; and $750 million will be paid to the federal government to pay for similar efforts. Borrowers who were victims of foreclosure abuses must file claims to receive cash payments, which will range from $1,500 to $2,000 depending on how many claims are filed. Reports indicate that roughly 750,000 homeowners would be eligible to file claims. (MORE: How ??Shadow Inventory?? Is Killing the Housing Market) The deal should create much more certainty for the banks going forward, and the amount of cash the banks are required to?forfeit?is quite small.fake uggs However, the suit leaves open room for states attorneys general and individuals to bring additional suits related to mortgage securitization, and to bring suits against MERScorp, a company created by large banks to streamline ?the process of transferring mortgage ownership during the securitization process. The deal is also a win for states attorneys general and the administration, who can now point to this settlement, the largest of its kind since the tobacco settlement of the 1990s, as concrete action taken to right the wrongs perpetrated by the mortgage industry leading up to and following the financial crisis.
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2013年11月13日星期三

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0 minutes.gucci outlet online Dry your eyes. It??s hard on all of us. But if you keep crying like this you won??t be able to see the 20th debate, perhaps the last of the primaries. We can do this together, learn to let go.louis vuitton outlet online But the sobbing must stop. James Earl Jones just said, ??This is CNN.?? John King is standing on the space stage. We have so many memories.louis vuitton outlet online Let??s make just a few more. King says this debate ??could change everything.?? Believe. 1 minute.loui vuitton Montage. High desert mountains. Low political clich辿s.? ??Grand showdown.louis vuitton backpack for sale?? ??All over the map.?? ??Could take another turn.?? ??Fight to the finish.?? Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum is the ??late contender.ugg boots outlet?? Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney is the ??Long Distance Runner.?? Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is the ??Determined Challenger.?? Texas Representative Ron Paul is the ??Delegate Hunter.?? None of these words mean anything.ugg boots outlet 3 minutes. Montage ends with a quick aerial shot of the indoor arena from a helicopter, soaring over the Phoenix suburbs, which look just like every other suburb. Then back inside. The candidates come out.louis vuitton belts Lumbering Gingrich. Measured Romney. Goofy Santorum. Amiable Paul.chanel outlet Romney makes a show of applauding Paul, so the others join in. Like old times. (MORE: Santorum Finds Himself in the Spotlight and On the Defensive) 4 minutes. Arizona State University??s symphonic choral group does the national anthem.louis vuitton handbags for sale Always loved the student groups the best. Much better than the B-grade show-tune types. 7 minutes. Self-introduction time.louis vuitton replica Paul is ??defender of the Constitution.?? Santorum will talk about ??positive solutions.?? Romney gets going on a long riff about ??a secure future and a prosperous life.?? But when he says Obama is bad, the crowd??s Pavlovian response takes over.louis vuitton belts They applaud, interrupting Romney, who concedes. ??That’s good enough. As George Costanza would say, when they’re applauding, stop. Right??? Actually Jerry Seinfeld said that.handbags louis vuitton Close enough. 8 minutes. Gingrich goes with some fresh, jarring images. ??I’ve developed a program for American energy so no future President will ever bow to a Saudi king again,?? he says.gucci handbag for sale Vote Gingrich. Vote rude diplomacy. Also ??$2.50 a gallon gasoline.chanel handbags for sale?? 9 minutes. Questions. This one from a guy named Gilbert, who worries about the U.S.louis vuitton belts debt being so high, which is an enormously bland question. Santorum has a stump speech answer. He will go after ??means tested entitlement spending?? but not defense. He goes on for a while.louis vuitton replica 11 minutes. Then King gets to the point: He asks Romney if Santorum is fooling the country with his fiscal conservative pitch. Seems that whole first question for Santorum was a set up. Romney drops debt-sized chunk of oppo.replica louis vuitton ??Well I’m looking at his historic record, which voting for raising the debt ceiling five different times without voting for compensating cuts. Voting to keep in place Davis-Bacon. . .cheap gucci belts .? Voting to fund Planned Parenthood, to expand the Department of Education.?? He goes on. One thing Romney has is a real talent for memorization.louis vuitton handbags for sale 13 minutes. Santorum responds by pointing out that Romney would have voted to raise the debt ceiling too. But Romney??s entire political approach is to deny completely obvious facts like this in favor of focus-group-tested one liners. So Santorum catches on with a one-liner of his own.replica louis vuitton ??Governor Romney raised $700 million in taxes and fees in Massachusetts,?? he says. ??I never voted to raise taxes.?? 14 minutes. Romney doesn??t respond to the claim directly.louis vuitton handbags for sale But he does say ??cut, cap and balance?? a couple of times. He also says he intends to cut taxes for everyone who pays them, ??including the top 1 percent,?? which is an odd thing to emphasize, given his problems connecting with those not in his income bracket. 15 minutes. Gingrich gets a chance to talk.ugg boots outlet He promises ??$2.50 gasoline?? again, which is exactly the sort of political pander he would probably call ??fundamentally dishonest?? if one of his opponents offered it. Never mind though. Gingrich has a theme.louis vuitton replica 17 minutes. King asks Paul why he called Santorum ??a fake.?? ??Because he’s a fake,?? says Paul. So good.ugg boots outlet Paul goes on to point out that Santorum is now against a lot of the things he once supported, like the No Child Left Behind education law. 19 minutes. Santorum comes back with a bunch of facts about all the conservative ratings saying he is conservative in comparison to other members of Congress. ??That’s always a cop-out when you compare yourself to the other members of Congress,?? Paul hits back.louis vuitton replica ??The American people are sick and tired of the members of Congress. They get about a 9% rating.?? If Paul was only selling something people wanted to buy, he would have a good shot at winning. (MORE: Grading the Arizona Republican Debate) 21 minutes.chanel handbags for sale King asks Romney what the deal was when he called himself ??severely conservative” a couple of weeks ago. ??Well, severe, strict,?? says Romney, basically admitting it was a mistake. Of course he will not admit that he has not actually been a strict conservative, just that he doesn??t say it right when he tries. 22 minutes.louis vuitton outlet online Have we mentioned the chairs? This is different. Everyone is sitting down. Only Romney has kept his suit jacket buttoned. Good judgement there.chanel outlet He looks like he is ready. The rest look like they are reclining after a big meal. 25 minutes. Talk turns to earmarking.louis vuitton neverfull And it??s complicated. Santorum is against earmarks now, but he doesn??t apologize for voting for them before. Romney is against Santorum voting for earmarks before, but he isn??t against his work to get earmarks before. Gingrich is generally into earmarks.cheap gucci belts Paul, who hates all government spending, also defends earmarks. The candidates flesh these positions out for 8 minutes. Real confusing. At one point, Romney says after Santorum talks for a while, ??I didn??t follow all of that, but I can tell you this.louis vuitton belts?? It is a near perfect transition sentence. But what follows is also pretty unintelligible. 30 minutes. Here is a typical exchange: ??Attached to a bill? Attached to a bill??? asks Romney.gucci handbag for sale ??As part of the bill. Congressman Paul…?? says Santorum. ??And the President can’t veto it??? asks Romney. ??He can veto the bill,?? says Santorum.handbags louis vuitton ??The whole bill, but he can’t veto the earmark??? asks Romney. ??Well, we tried to do that, by the way. I supported a line-item veto,?? says Santorum. ??That’s what I support.chanel outlet That’s what I support,?? says Romney. ??Hold on. Hold on,?? says Santorum. Democracy in action.loui vuitton 34 minutes. From earmarks to bailouts. Santorum says he is against all bailouts, and that Romney opposed the auto bailout but supported the bailout of Wall Street in 2008. Romney gets all huffy.replica louis vuitton ??Nice, nice try,?? he says. An inferior transition sentence. Then he explains at length his auto-non-bailout position. He says he wasn??t just bailing out Wall Street by supporting TARP, but trying to bail out all banks.louis vuitton handbags for sale And he pulls out more oppo on Santorum. ??Now, Senator you voted in favor of the bail out of the airline industry after 9/11,?? he says. ??I think that was the right thing to do. It was an emergency.louis vuitton backpack for sale?? This is an odd attack, since it is actually a compliment. 39 minutes. Santorum can??t let Romney get away with the compliment-attack. ??As Governor Romney well knows, that the American government shut down the airline industry after 9/11,?? Santorum begins.chanel handbags for sale But pretty soon Romney is interrupting. ??I agree with you,?? he says. ??I agree.?? All confusing.louis vuitton speedy Like two gladiators blowing deadly kisses. (MORE: In the National Spotlight, Santorum Doesn??t Shy Away from Social Issues) 41 minutes. Gingrich says Obama is bad and Chrysler is now a foreign company. Paul says government involvement in pretty much anything is always bad.gucci outlet online 42 minutes. Our first commercial break. How you holding up? Maybe these aerial shots of Mesa, Arizona, which looks like a dun-colored office park, will help. 46 minutes.louis vuitton handbags for sale We??re back. A question about birth control, which sparks boos from the crowd. So Gingrich steps in. ??But I just want to point out, you did not once in the 2008 campaign, not once did anybody in the elite media ask why Barack Obama voted in favor of legalizing infanticide.louis vuitton handbags for sale Okay??? Okay. It is not true that Obama voted in favor of infanticide. And it is not true that the elite media ignored the charge that he did. 47 minutes.fake uggs Romney pivots away from contraception to religious freedom, and condemns Obama for ??most recently requiring the Catholic Church to provide for its employees and its various enterprises health care insurance that would include birth control, sterilization and the morning-after pill. Unbelievable.?? This is a good line, as long as you don??t go back to Dec. 8, 2005, when Romney himself was quoted saying, ????My own view is that every hospital should provide to rape victims information about emergency contraception, or emergency contraception itself.fake uggs?? Unbelievable, you say? Believe it. 49 minutes. Santorum returns to contraception, which he has previously said he would speak out against as President. By definition, contraception prevents pregnancy, but Santorum suggests it does the opposite, by encouraging teen sexuality.louis vuitton handbags for sale ??What we’re seeing is a problem in our culture with respect to children being raised by children, children being raised out of wedlock, and the impact on society economically,?? he says. So vote Santorum, and prevent pregnancy with less contraception. Or something like that. 51 minutes.louis vuitton handbags for sale Paul, who is a doctor, doesn??t buy Santorum??s logic. ??Along the line of the pills creating immorality, I don’t see it that way,?? he says. ??I think the immorality creates the problem of wanting to use the pills. So you don’t blame the pills.fake ugg boots?? He has a point. 53 minutes. More talk of contraception. Romney again denies that Massachusetts ever wanted to force Catholic hospitals to be involved in emergency contraception, even though that was his position at the time.louis vuitton backpack for sale Gingrich points this fact out, and then goes on to suggest that any government involvement in issues like contraception is always a ??move towards tyranny.?? The crowd likes this line. 55 minutes. The whole debate is really becoming difficult to follow, and not just because of all the emotion surrounding the potential end of the GOP debates.louis vuitton belts Santorum says, ??I opposed Title X funding. I’ve always opposed Title X funding,?? which provides federal support for family planning clinics like Planned Parenthood. But in 2006, Santorum said, ??I support, you know, Title X.?? Really.fake ugg boots It??s okay if you want to give up. Or cry. Start now. 59 minutes.louis vuitton outlet online Romney points out that Santorum said something different back in 2006. ??I think I was making it clear that, while I have a personal more objection to it; even though I don’t support it, that I voted for bills that included it,?? says Santorum, as if this makes anything clear. 60 minutes. To recap the first hour.ugg boots outlet Most of the candidates both hate earmarks and like earmarks. Romney hates restrictions on Catholic hospitals, but once supported them. Santorum hates federal family planning funding, though he once supported it but only because he supported the bills that included it. Gingrich will deliver $2.cheap gucci belts50 gas. Now we can begin the next hour. 61 minutes. Santorum and Romney are squabbling about RomneyCare and whether it led to ObamaCare.fake louis vuitton Romney pulls out a zinger: ??The reason we have Obama Care is because the Senator you supported over Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania, Arlen Specter, the pro-choice Senator of Pennsylvania that you supported and endorsed in a race over Pat Toomey, he voted for Obama Care. If you had not supported him, if we had said, no to Arlen Specter, we would not have Obama Care. So don’t look at me. Take a look in the mirror.loui vuitton?? Again, good memorization. Romney also says he is against ObamaCare because it cuts a private, add-on program for Medicare. (MORE: Mitt Romney: The Once and Future Front Runner Looks Beyond Florida) 62 minutes. Santorum shoots back by pointing out that RomneyCare required hundreds of millions of dollars in additional federal subsidies to work, which is true.louis vuitton handbags for sale Then Santorum delivers a zinger of his own, saying Romney??s boasts of balancing the budget on the state level don??t mean anything, since governors have no choice, which is true. ??Don’t go around bragging about something you have to do,?? he says. ??Michael Dukakis balanced the budget for 10 years, does that make him qualified to be President of the United States? I don’t think so.?? Applause.louis vuitton belts Santorum then defends his support of Specter, for complicated reasons connected with the Supreme Court and the Senate Judiciary Committee, even though Santorum has previously told voters that he regrets supporting Specter. Abandon all hope any who want this to make sense. 65 minutes. Question about immigration.louis vuitton neverfull Everyone wants a strong border. Then there is a crowd shot of Rick Perry in the audience. He still looks handsome. Without a microphone, he has more gravitas.gucci handbag for sale Gingrich reiterates his desire for a double fence on the southern border. Romney calls Arizona??s tough immigration laws ??a model,?? and promises to drop the lawsuits to throw the laws out on constitutional grounds. Santorum also says he wants more enforcement. 72 minutes.fake louis vuitton King quotes Republican rising star, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, as saying the immigration rhetoric in the GOP has been ??harsh, intolerable, inexcusable.?? He asks Gingrich to respond, and Gingrich dodges. ??Is there somebody somewhere who’s done that? ?? he says.louis vuitton belts ??Sure.?? 74 minutes. Another commercial break. It has gone dark outside, so no more aerial shots.fake ugg boots 80 minutes. We??re back. Each candidate is asked to describe himself in one word. Paul says ??Consistent,?? which is true.louis vuitton belts Santorum says, ??Courage,?? which is strange, because he has spent the night explaining away uncourageous positions. Romney says ??Resolute,?? which is also strange for basically the same reason. And Gingrich says ??Cheerful,?? which is nearly a perfect response, because it means, “You are all a bunch of clowns, and I put up with you.” 81 minutes.chanel handbags for sale Foreign policy time. Romney is not going to give a position on more women on the front lines of the military. Though he does say he wants to grow the size of the military dramatically, and that Obama is terrible for a number of reasons. Gingrich also won??t bite on women in the military, though he does call Obama ??the most dangerous President on national security grounds in American history.gucci handbag for sale?? Paul says he wants fewer wars, especially the ones with the U.S. on offense. 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Panetta volunteered Feb. 1 that the U.louis vuitton replicaS. was looking to hand over responsibility for combat operations across all of Afghanistan to Afghan troops sometime in 2013 ?? well before the planned U.S. departure by the end of 2014.louis vuitton replica Then he apparently suggested to a reporter that Israel might strike Iran as soon as this summer. That was too much of a green light for the White House, which three days later yanked the reins. ??I don??t think,?? Obama told NBC??s Matt Lauer shortly before the Super Bowl kickoff, ??that Israel has made a decision on what they need to do.?? Panetta’s allies say Leon was just being himself.louis vuitton outlet online Confiding and candid, and blessed with an easy laugh, Panetta, 73, has been around Washington longer than Eric Cantor has been in long pants. He spent 16 years in Congress rising to Budget Committee chairman, and then became the rare Democrat to serve in four Cabinet jobs: budget director and chief of staff for Clinton, and CIA Director and now Pentagon boss for President Obama. No one else alive in his party has had such range or depth. On Afghanistan, Panetta made explicit what many in the U.louis vuitton outlet onlineS. military believe: after a decade of war, Afghanistan??s security forces need to start shouldering more of the load faster. He was multitasking: prodding the Afghans to get their act together, while making clear Obama??s desire to bring U.S.louis vuitton belts troops home as quickly as possible. It??s a high-wire act, and he??s under unusual pressure from his party as the first Democrat to run the Pentagon since 1997, and not simply default to GOP-lite. As a one-time junior Army officer ?? and a son, one of three, who earned a Bronze Star in Afghanistan with the Navy reserve ?? Panetta has the gravitas to run the Defense Department. That??s something ?? as the nation??s military officers increasingly lean Republican ?? Democrats don??t always seem to have, or understand.gucci handbag for sale But Panetta speaks their language. “I’ve been in hearings for the last three days,” he told airmen in Louisiana Feb. 17. “Shit, I think I should get some kind of award going through that crap.louis vuitton outlet online”?(“He’s the consummate straight shooter,” George Little, his spokesman at the CIA and now the Pentagon, says. “You always know where you stand with him.”) But sometimes his words go off target. After Panetta met with the Washington Post??s David Ignatius earlies this month, the columnist wrote that ??Panetta believes there is a strong likelihood that Israel will strike Iran in April, May or June.chanel handbags for sale?? That came as a jolt to the Obama Administration??s carefully orchestrated plan to keeping tightening economic sanctions on Iran. The goal is to give them enough time ?? through the election, perhaps ?? to bite. Any attack would likely derail that strategy. It would only delay Iran??s alleged quest for nuclear weapons by a year or two, Administration officials believe, and encourage Tehran to develop nuclear weapons.louis vuitton backpack for sale Diplomacy, Obama said in that Super Bowl chat, remains the ??preferred solution.?? Senator Roger Wicker asked Panetta about Ignatius?? assessment of the defense secretary??s thinking. ??I usually don’t comment on columnists’ ideas about what I’m thinking,?? Panetta responded. The Mississippi Republican pressed him on whether he has a view on the chance of an Israeli attack on Iran this spring.fake ugg boots ??I do not,?? the Pentagon chief said. It was classic Panetta sleight-of-mouth: the world will recall what Panetta was supposedly thinking long after it has forgotten his denial. But sometimes it??s just Leon speaking Leongua franca. He relishes the role: “There was some talk here of trying to put a seven-second delay on the microphones for the ceremony,” he said at his Pentagon swearing-in.louis vuitton neverfull “But I can??t imagine why the hell that would be necessary.” He praises two top Army officers of Italian heritage as his “spaghetti generals.?? And he regularly blames his not-so-bon-mots on his parents, who emigrated to California from Italy. ??As an Italian,?? he told laughing members of a congressional panel on Feb.ugg boots outlet 16, ??I’m a control freak.?? Panetta is nothing if not in charge. The next day he told those troops at Barksdale Air Force Base ?? safely out of congressional earshot ?? about that ??crap?? he had to endure before Congress, even as he had made lawmakers laugh. ??I told General [Martin] Dempsey [chairman of the Joint Chiefs, who shared a foxhole with Panetta during their testimony] I need a new combat badge for going to Capitol Hill,?? he said.fake uggs The ensuing pause echoed Bob Hope’s perfect timing when addressing the troops. ??With clusters.
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